No harm, no foul with our most recent NHL picks. We last released picks on Friday night as we took Vancouver as big road underdogs in Carolina while also picking OVER 6 in the contest between the Penguins and Stars in Dallas. While the Canucks didn’t give us much of a chance during a 4-1 loss in Carolina, the Stars defeated the Penguins 4-3 via the shootout and went OVER the total in the process. At the end of the day we lost a unit on the Canucks pick but gained it right back with Penguins/Stars OVER as we ended up flat on the night. With just three games on tonight’s NHL schedule we have one pick going featuring the Panthers vs. Oilers
Season Record: 73-59
Panthers vs. Oilers NHL Pick – February 12th
OUR PICK: OILERS (-140) *Risking 1.40 units to win 1 unit*
The Oilers look to snap a three-game losing streak when they host the Panthers who saw their four-game win streak snapped on Friday against the Kings.
Like a lot of teams, the Panthers are much better offensively at home, but unlike a lot of teams their splits are rather drastic. Florida scores 3.16 goals per game at home, good for 12th, but just 2.44 per game on the road, good for 28th. The Panthers’ volatile season has seen a few winning and losing streaks along the way, but after winning four in a row the Panthers dropped a 3-1 decision to the Kings on Friday. The Panthers’ offense that averaged 3.50 goals per game over the four wins was held to just a single goal despite putting 36 shots on Jonathan Quick. Florida actually leads the NHL with 34.7 shots per game, however they also give up 34.7 shots per game, which ranks them 30th in the league. You can expect the Oilers to get plenty of shots tonight as their 36.4 shots per game at home ranks second in the league. On the receiving end of those shots is going to be James Reimer who makes his return tonight after missing five games with a groin injury. Reimer was cold before hitting the IR, posting a .900 Sv% in seven January appearances and an .897 Sv% over his last five road appearances before hitting the shelf.
The Oilers offense clearly hasn’t been great for most of the season, but they’ve got their captain playing some elite hockey at the moment. Over the last 11 games, Connor McDavid has posted 17 points including a brilliant four-goal, five-point effort a week ago against the league-best Lightning. The Oilers have lost three in a row, but their offense has been good lately with an average of 3.30 goals per game over their last ten. Of course, defense has been an issue as the Oilers’ 3.48 goals against per game at home ranks 29th and they just recently yielded 14 goals across the dreaded three-game trip through California. However, Cam Talbot started just two of those games and sports a decent .915 Sv% in three February appearances as compared to his .902 mark for the season.
We all know the Oilers go as Connor McDavid goes, and Connor McDavid is going right now. I also like the Oilers’ offense that takes plenty of shots going up against a goaltender who hasn’t seen game action in almost three weeks. As mentioned, Talbot has been solid lately and faces a weak road offense tonight. The Oilers are also 13-3-0 over their last 16 games against the Panthers. With all of this in mind we will bet on arguably the world’s best player tonight to help his team to victory and notch us a unit in the process.