Daily Fantasy

Daily Fantasy Hockey Puck Guide | 2/9/18

Last night’s Daily Fantasy Hockey Puck Guide did some damage. Our top cash stack of the three-headed Tampa Bay monster delivered as Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov and Victor Hedman combined for three goals, three assists, 14 shots and one block. Our second favorite cash stack of Josh Bailey, John Tavares and Nick Leddy produced one goal, two assists, ten shots and two blocks. We were also pumped to see our top GPP stack deliver as well. Alex Steen, Paul Stastny and Vince Dunn combined to record one goal, five assists and three shots on goal. Both of our value plays also connected for some production. The Sabres’ Evan Rodrigues made good on his spot next to Jack Eichel with a goal and an assist on two shots while the Senators’ Thomas Chabot tallied an assist to go along with a shot and a block. Our goalie rankings weren’t as successful, but our no. 1 and no. 3 would combine for a .943 Sv% and two wins. After our most successful Puck Guide yet, let’s keep the momentum going heading into the weekend!

The Slate

After a solid nine-game slate last night, the action doesn’t get much lighter with a heavier than normal eight-game Friday slate to tackle.

Top Stacks

Cash:

New York Islanders vs. DET: Josh Bailey ($6,800) – John Tavares ($8,200) – Nick Leddy ($5,300)

Look familiar? For our top cash stack of the night we will roll with our No. 2 cash stack from last night. A night after doing some damage in Buffalo, the Islanders’ top line should be able to replicate or exceed that production tonight against the visiting Red Wings. The Islanders scored at least three goals for the third straight game and have averaged 3.67 goals per game over their last three. After three straight starts where he allowed just one goal per game, Red Wings’ starter Petr Mrazek yielded three goals and was hit with a loss last Saturday against the Panthers. Detroit’s defense isn’t too bad on the road at 12th with 2.87 goals against per game, but the Islanders’ offense is clicking right now and average 3.54 goals per game at home, good for sixth.

Not a whole lot of explanation needed here, especially if you read yesterday’s Puck Guide. Bailey’s assist last night was his 45th of the season, keeping him in a third place tie league-wide with John Klingberg and Claude Giroux. Tavares tallied his 28th goal of the season and added a helper as well, giving him 60 points on the season, the seventh highest total in the NHL. For his part, Leddy has two goals and an assist over his last three games after registering only one assist over his previous 11 games. Like last night, Anders Lee ($6,600) is the obvious choice for a fourth Islander in this stack. Lee notched his 28th goal of the season last night and forms a four-man PP1 stack alongside this trio, a group that clicks at a 23.5% clip at home, good for 10th.

Dallas Stars vs. PIT: Jamie Benn ($7,700) – Tyler Seguin ($8,000) – Alexander Radulov ($6,800)

The Stars were also in action last night as they took a 4-2 road victory from the Chicago Blackhawks, their fourth straight win. Tonight, the Stars host the Pittsburgh Penguins who, despite being hot offensively, have been porous defensively often this season. Pittsburgh’s 3.22 goals against per game on the road ranks 23rd while the Stars enter play with the league’s seventh best home offense with 3.36 goals per game.Tonight’s projected starter is Matt Murray who has been bad on the road this season and sports a 3.19 GAA and an .888 Sv% away from PPG Paints Arena.

The floor on this stack is actually higher than that of the Islanders. Benn, Seguin and Radulov are all shot on goal machines as they have fired a combined 516 shots on goal this season and combine to average 3.13 shots per game apiece. Seguin’s 220 shots on goal ranks third in the NHL, just 11 shots shy of Brent Burns for the league lead. Seguin also sports some drastic home/road splits. On the road, he has just 18 points in 27 games, but has tallied 32 points in 28 home games. He also averages 4.5 shots per game at home and has scored seven goals over his last six games with nine points and 4.17 shots per game during that stretch. Radulov has also been hot and very consistent as of late with 23 points over his last 17 games. Benn hasn’t been quite as hot, but he’s pumped in 21 goals and 49 points in 55 games this season on 160 shots. This trio is going right now and a home ice matchup against a weak defensive road team is a favorable matchup. Of course, John Klingberg ($6,700) is the defenseman to use in this stack. His 51 points leads all NHL defenseman while he would complete a four-man Stars’ PP1 stack tonight.

GPP:

Detroit Red Wings @ NYI: Gustav Nyquist ($6,000) – Henrik Zetterberg ($5,400) – Anthony Mantha ($4,200)

While the Islanders are in a nice spot tonight against the visiting Red Wings, Detroit is in a nice spot themselves. No one gives up more than the Islanders’ 3.58 goals against per game at home or their 3.64 per game overall. Also, with Jaroslav Halak taking the loss last night in Buffalo, the Wings should see backup Thomas Greiss who has been horrible this season. Greiss enters play sporting a 3.94 GAA and an .887 Sv% for the season. He has also yielded at least five goals in six of his last ten outings.

The truth is you could stack this line or the Larkin/Tatar/Athanasiou line for the Red Wings tonight. That said, my preference is the above trio as I want to include Detroit’s best goal scorer and that is Mantha. Although he has just one goal over his last nine games, Mantha leads the Red Wings with 16 goals and ranks third with 118 shots. He’s also tied for the team lead with seven power play goals. Nyquist’s 15 goals are right behind Mantha’s 16 for second on the team while he paces all Red Wings’ skaters with 130 shots on goal. Zetterberg is the playmaker of the bunch, recording 28 assists on the season while still taking 113 shots across 52 games. This trio also lines up with each other on one of the two Red Wings’ power play units, a group that will take on the league’s 24th-ranked home penalty kill at 78.7% tonight. The defenseman I would include in this stack would be Niklas Kronwall ($3,800). Kronwall is the lone defenseman on this power play unit and will be a lower owned blueliner than Mike Green who quarterbacks the other power play group.

Vancouver Canucks @ CAR: Sven Baertschi ($4,100) – Bo Horvat ($5,600) – Brock Boeser ($6,300)

A night after taking a 5-2 loss in Tampa Bay, the Canucks will be right back at it tonight, this time with a lighter matchup in Carolina. Scott Darling has already been confirmed as the Hurricanes’ starter tonight and he has had a tough season and been even worse as of late. For the year, Darling owns a 3.06 GAA and an .892 Sv% with a 3.12 GAA and an .894 Sv% at home. Over his last seven starts, Darling has allowed 28 goals and sports an .853 Sv% during that stretch.

On an eight-game slate I don’t suspect the ownership will be too high on these guys, especially if you roster all three of them. We all know the story on Boeser who will undoubtedly be the highest owned of the trio. He scored his 26th goal of the season in last night’s loss, giving him two goals and three points over his last three games. Horvat recorded an assist last night to give him 25 points in 36 games on the season. He has been especially dangerous on the power play where he has scored five of his 12 goals and he’s also added a short-handed goal this season as well. The Canucks’ power play is surprisingly potent on the road, ranking second in the league with a 24.7% clip. Baertschi is having a solid season himself, tallying 12 goals with seven of those 12 coming on the aforementioned man advantage. All said, this trio has combined for 50 goals in 130 games this season with 21 of those 50 coming on the power play. If you want to add a defenseman to this stick let’s roll with Michael Del Zotto ($3,800) for GPP purposes. He should go lower owned than Alexander Edler while he lines up with Baertschi on the second power play unit, giving us two players on each of the Canucks’ power play groups. Del Zotto has 16 points, 92 shots and 80 blocks in 54 games this season.

Value Plays

*For the purpose of this section, we will try and list a value play this is not a member of the teams stacked above. If there is a cheap player in those stacks, we believe he is a strong value play. However, in the spirit of covering the whole slate, we will suggest alternative value plays in this section.

Forward

W – Troy Brouwer (CGY) – $3,500 @ NYR

The Rangers have a been a real leaky defensive team lately, giving the visiting Calgary Flames a decent matchup tonight in Broadway. New York has yielded at least four goals against in six of their last seven and at least three in eight of their last ten. Enter Brouwer who will skate on the Flames’ third line tonight, but he also has a spot on the top power play unit alongside the Flames’ big guns. Brouwer has just three goals and 15 points in 54 games this season, but he’s seen an uptick in ice time over the last month where he’s averaged over 16 minutes per game compared to just over 14 per game for the season. He hasn’t scored since January 4th, but Brouwer is sure to be very low owned tonight as a member of the league’s 12th-ranked road power play.

D – Vince Dunn (STL) – $3,700 @ WPG

We won’t be able to get Dunn at sub-$4K prices much longer, so let’s make sure we cash in on his value while we can. Dunn was part of last night’s top GPP stack and he contributed three assists in the Blues’ 6-1 stomping of the Avalanche. The offensive outburst snapped a string of three straight poor offensive showings from St. Louis, so more offense could be had tonight in Winnipeg. Dunn is just 21 years old, but has an elite offensive skill set for a defenseman which is why he’s now the lone blueliner on the Blues’ top power play unit. The Jets are a good defensive club at home, but have yielded three goals in two of their last three at the Bell MTS Centre. With the Blues offense busting out last night it’s not far fetched at all to consider Dunn holding plenty of value again tonight.

Goalie Rankings

*Goalie rankings are for cash purposes with our top GPP plays noted.

  1. Braden Holtby (WAS) – $9,100 vs. CLS
  2. Mike Smith (CGY) – $8,200 @ NYR
  3. Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) – $8,400 vs. STL
  4. Jonathan Quick (LA) – $8,700 @ FLA
  5. John Gibson (ANH) – $8,600 vs. EDM
  6. Henrik Lundqvist (NYR) – $8,900 vs. CGY
  7. Sergei Bobrovsky (CLS) – $8,400 @ WAS
  8. Harri Sateri (FLA) – $7,700 vs. LA *GPP*
  9. Jacob Markstrom (VAN) – $7,600 @ CAR *GPP*
  10. Jake Allen (STL) – $8,000 @ WPG
  11. Kari Lehtonen (DAL) – $8,000 vs. PIT
  12. Scott Darling (CAR) – $7,300 vs. VAN *GPP*
  13. Cam Talbot (EDM) – $7,900
  14. Matt Murray (PIT) – $8,600 @ DAL
  15. Thomas Greiss (NYI) – $7,200 vs. DET
  16. Petr Mrazek (DET) – $7,600 @ NYI *GPP*

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