Daily Fantasy

Daily Fantasy Hockey Puck Guide | 2/12/18

Happy Monday to everyone! We certainly enjoyed another fantastic weekend of NHL action, and if you happened to miss out, check out today’s Puck Show Weekend Wrap and get yourself caught up! Let’s get our week started with some profits and a successful Daily Fantasy Hockey Puck Guide!

The Slate

After a very entertaining Sunday slate, we will take on a quiet three-game slate this Monday evening.

Top Stacks

Cash:

Edmonton Oilers vs. FLA: Patrick Maroon ($5,700) – Connor McDavid ($9,100) – Leon Draisaitl ($7,200)

**Maroon (1 G,1 A,1 SH = 21.6 FPTS) – McDavid (1 G,1 A,5 SH,1 BLK = 29.6 FPTS) – Draisaitl (1 SHG,4 SH = 20.4 FPTS)**

Listed Cash Stack Average = 23.87 Fantasy Points Per Player

There are some quality offenses in action tonight, but my top cash stack of the day is the Edmonton Oilers as they have a home date against the visiting Florida Panthers tonight. The Panthers’ defense has actually been solid lately, yielding just nine goals over their last five games, but they will have their hands full with McDavid and co. tonight. Florida’s 34.7 shots against per game ranks 30th in the league while their 3.15 goals against per game checks in at 25th. With James Reimer coming off IR, it’s possible he gets his first start since January 23rd against Dallas, however it’s also possible Harri Sateri gets his seventh straight start tonight. My bet is Reimer gets the start tonight considering he is fully healthy and I like the thought of going up against a goaltender who hasn’t seen live action in almost three weeks.

Obviously McDavid is a high-upside play in this matchup. After tallying 11 points over his last six games, McDavid is up to 64 points for the season, good for a fourth place tie and just five points behind league-leader Nikita Kucherov. McDavid also has 173 shots and should get plenty more against a team that gives up a lot of them. Maroon looks set to ride shotgun to McDavid at both 5v5 and on the power play tonight, a good spot to be to break out of a cold stretch where he’s tallied just one assist over his last seven games. With the trade deadline approaching and Maroon likely to be moved, the Oilers will try and keep him close to McDavid to improve his value to other teams. Draisaitl appears to have been moved back to center which means he won’t skate with McDavid at even strength. However, he will flank him on the top power play unit and brings a solid floor with him in the form of 48 points and 127 shots across 50 games this season. Oscar Klefbom ($5,100) is the defenseman I would utilize to make this a four-man stack. He’s got excellent peripheral stats of 150 shots and 107 blocks despite just 14 points on the season. He does, however, have three points over his last four games and is the lone defenseman on same power play group as this three-man stack.

GPP:

Arizona Coyotes vs. CHI: Tobias Rieder ($3,600) – Max Domi ($4,400) – Oliver Ekman-Larsson ($5,100)

**Rieder (1 PPG,1 A,2 SH,2 BLK = 26.9 FPTS) – Domi (1 G, 1 A, 1 SH, 1 BLK = 23.2 FPTS) – Ekman-Larsson (0 FPTS)**

Listed GPP Stack Average = 16.7 Fantasy Points Per Player

Despite sporting the league’s worst offense at just 2.33 goals per game, I like the spot the Coyotes are in tonight against the visiting Blackhawks. With Corey Crawford on the shelf, the Blackhawks have not received any sort of goaltending in his absence. Jeff Glass took Saturday’s 3-0 loss in Minnesota and sports a 3.13 GAA and a .905 Sv% for the season while Anton Forsberg has been poor on the road this season to the tune of a 3.20 GAA and a .901 Sv%. Chicago has lost five straight games while allowing an average of 3.60 goals per game during that stretch while the Coyotes have averaged 3.33 goals per game over their last three.

Rieder and Domi are certainly not having great offensive seasons, but that should keep their ownership down in the process. They line up together on the Coyotes’ second line as well as their top power play unit. Rieder was a healthy scratch recently, but he has averaged 0.44 points per game over the last two seasons, giving me reason to believe he can improve on the 0.26 mark that he sports this season. I’m also looking for some positive regression for Domi who has just three goals this season. Domi sports a career shooting percentage of 8.1%, however he sits with a mark of just 2.8% this season despite 108 shots on goal. He’s actually averaging more shots per game this year than he did in his 18-goal, 52-point rookie season two years ago. For his part, Ekman-Larsson is having a decent offensive season, all things considered. He’s scored eight goals, four of which have come on the power play, and 25 points on 138 shots. Ekman-Larsson will likely see some ownership tonight, but I believe this trio, as a stack, will go low owned while in a solid spot to produce.

Value Plays

*For the purpose of this section, we try and list a couple of value plays that are not members of the teams stacked above. If there is a cheap player in those stacks, we believe he is a strong value play. However, in the spirit of covering the whole slate, we will list alternative value plays here.

Forward

W – Anthony Duclair (CHI) – $3,400 @ ARI

**Duclair (3 SH = 4.8 FPTS)**

You know that Duclair will be fired up for this one. Duclair will face his former team tonight after a January 10th trade that sent him to Chicago. It didn’t exactly sound like Duclair and the Coyotes saw eye-to-eye during his tenure, so showing up his former club is most likely on the forefront of Duclair’s mind tonight. He is in a nice spot to do so as he skates with Jonathan Toews and rookie standout Alex DeBrincat on the Blackhawks’ top line while he also flanks Toews on the second power play unit as well. He’s tallied five points in 12 games with his new team, but taking on the league’s 30th-ranked defense provides opportunities for production more often than not. He’s averaged more than a minute more of ice time per game in Chicago than he did in Arizona while he has skated at least 15 minutes in six of his last seven contests.

Defense

D – Mike Matheson (FLA) – $3,900 @ EDM

**Matheson (1 A, 1 PPA, 2 SH, 2 BLK = 22.9 FPTS)**

The Edmonton Oilers’ struggles on the back end, especially at home, have been well documented this season which is why Matheson holds some real nice value upside heading into this matchup tonight. The Panthers aren’t a great road offense, but Edmonton’s 3.48 goals against per game at home ranks 29th while their putrid 56.3% mark on the penalty kill at home is last in the NHL by a mile. Matheson could take advantage of both as he skates an average of 20:55 per game on the Panthers’ second pairing including about 1:30 of power play time per game over the last month on the team’s second unit. He’s also got some decent peripheral stats with 96 shots and 76 blocks to go with his six goals and 17 points on the season. The 23-year-old has some nice offensive upside and that upside increases tonight against a weak defensive club.

Goalie Rankings

*Goalie rankings are for cash purposes with our top GPP played noted.

  1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (TB) – $9,300 @ TOR – (19 Saves, 4 Goals Against = -0.8 FPTS)
  2. Frederik Andersen (TOR) – $8,200 vs. TB *GPP* (31 Saves, 3 Goals Against, 1 Win = 24.8 FPTS)
  3. Cam Talbot (EDM) – $7,900 vs. FLA (33 Saves, 6 Goals Against = 2.4 FPTS)
  4. Antti Raanta (ARI) – $7,200 vs. CHI *GPP* (37 Saves, 1 Goal Against, 1 Win = 37.6 FPTS)
  5. Anton Forsberg (CHI) – $7,800 @ ARI (10 Saves, 3 Goals Against = -4 FPTS)
  6. James Reimer (FLA) – $7,300 @ EDM (27 Saves, 5 Goals Against, 1 Win = 13.6 FPTS)
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